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Posted: 9:02 a.m. Tuesday, Jan. 19, 2010

ALL EYES ON MASSACHUSETTS ... AN HISTORIC DAY IN THE WORKS? 

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By Neal Boortz

What an absolutely HUGE story. Today is the day. As little of a week ago this seemed inconceivable. There was just now way a Republican was going to win an election to replace Ted Kennedy in the U.S. Senate .. yet here we are on election day and polls are showing a win for Scott Brown.

Today we will really find out what the people think of the Democrats and their plans to take over 18% of the economy, and things aren't looking all that well for Democrat Coakley. The Politico/Inside Advantage poll shows Brown up by 9 percentage points.

Some more numbers: (I pilfered these from a Michelle Malkin blog).

  • Brown is up 64-32 with independents and is winning 20% of the vote from people who supported Barack Obama in 2008 while Coakley is getting just 4% of the McCain vote.
  • Brown's voters continue to be much more enthusiastic than Coakley's. 80% of his say they're 'very excited' about voting Tuesday while only 60% of hers express that sentiment. But the likely electorate now reports having voted for Barack Obama by 19 points, up from 16 a week ago, and a much smaller drop from his 26 point victory in the state than was seen in Virginia.
  • Those planning to turn out continue to be skeptical of the Democratic health care plan, saying they oppose it by a 48/40 margin.
  • Coakley's favorability dropped from 50% to 44% after a week filled with perceived missteps. Brown's negatives went up a lot but his positives only actually went from 57% to 56%, an indication that attacks against him may have been most effective with voters already planning to support Coakley but ambivalent toward Brown.
  • 56% of voters in the state think Brown has made a strong case for why he should be elected while just 41% say the same of Coakley. Even among Coakley's supporters only 73% think she's made the argument for herself, while 94% of Brown's supporters think he has.

It seems that Scott Brown has the voters excited and that is what gets more people the polls. I still find it hard to believe that a Republican will actually pull through, but I would just LOVE for the voters of Massachusetts to prove me wrong.

Has the future of ObamaCare come down to a Massachusetts Senate race? Looks that way ... but the Democrats will certainly look for another angle. But that's where we are at and today is voting day. So .. which way do you think things are going to go in Massachusetts today? Will the Democrats turn out the voters and eke out a win for Coakley; or will the Scott Brown surge carry through to the ballot boxes? And ... if Brown wins, how will the Democrats spin this?

We'll have fun with this one tomorrow.

 
 

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